This report is for educational purposes only, and not to provide investment advice.  Before making any investment decision, you should always do your own research or consult a investment professional.
While I try to be accurate, I assume no responsibility for any figure in this spreadsheet.
See my website on stocks or see my blog at the following sites.  www.spbrunner.com/stocks.html www.spbrunner.blogspot.com/
Manitoba Telecom Services Inc www.mts.ca/ MBT Fiscal Yr: Dec 31 3/31/11
Year 12/31/99 12/31/00 12/31/01 12/31/02 12/31/03 12/31/04 12/31/05 12/31/06 12/31/07 12/31/08 12/31/09 12/31/10 12/31/11 12/30/12 #Y
Accting Rules C GAAP IFRS
Revenue* $722.1 $822.3 $1,003.0 $927.3 $884.7 $1,524.9 $2,017.2 $1,926.4 $1,905.8 $1,921.5 $1,809.9 $1,708.9 $1,757.0 $1,748.0 107.83% <-Total Growth 10 Revenue
Increase 3.61% 13.87% 21.98% -7.55% -4.59% 72.36% 32.28% -4.50% -1.07% 0.82% -5.81% -5.58% 2.81% -0.51% 7.59% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Revenue
Rev per Share $12.19 $14.48 $17.66 $14.88 $14.38 $24.79 $29.85 $28.83 $29.49 $29.73 $27.99 $26.31 $27.05 $26.91 -3.26% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Revenue
P/S (Price/Sales) 1.82 2.65 1.93 2.42 2.99 2.00 1.33 1.61 1.56 1.21 1.20 1.08 1.24 1.24 6.15% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Rev per share
*Revenue in M CDN $ Operating Revenues P/S 10 yr  1.58 5 yr  1.21 -2.50% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Rev per share
-$822.3 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $1,708.9
-$2,017.2 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $1,708.9
EPS* $1.34 $1.54 $1.13 $2.51 $1.35 $4.27 $3.14 $4.39 $2.60 $2.23 $1.57 $1.54 $2.43 $2.53 I 0.00% <-Total Growth 10 Earnings
Increase -1.47% 14.93% -26.62% 122.12% -46.22% 216.30% -26.46% 39.81% -40.77% -14.23% -29.60% -1.91% 57.79% 4.12% 0.00% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Earnings
* ESP per share (Cdn GAAP) -13.28% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Earnings
-$1.54 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $1.54
-$3.14 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $1.54
Div* $0.70 $0.76 $0.76 $0.82 $0.94 $1.80 $2.60 $2.60 $2.60 $2.60 $2.60 $2.38 $1.70 $1.70 212.50% <-Total Growth 10 Dividends
Increase 2.94% 8.57% 0.00% 7.89% 14.63% 91.49% 44.44% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% -8.65% -28.42% 0.00% 0.00% <-Median-> 10 Dividends
Yield H/L 3.58% 2.48% 1.88% 2.52% 2.43% 3.81% 5.91% 6.04% 5.47% 6.90% 7.63% 7.90% 5.69% <-Median-> 10 Dividends
Yield on Low 4.13% 3.30% 2.08% 2.83% 2.72% 4.41% 6.79% 7.01% 5.74% 8.14% 8.41% 9.53% 6.26% <-Median-> 10 Dividends
Yield on Cl 3.16% 1.98% 2.23% 2.28% 2.19% 3.63% 6.57% 5.60% 5.66% 7.23% 7.76% 8.33% 5.09% 5.09% 5.63% <-Median-> 10 Dividends
Payout Ratio 52.2% 49.4% 67.3% 32.7% 69.6% 42.2% 82.8% 59.2% 100.0% 116.6% 165.6% 154.2% 70.0% 67.2% 76.22% <-Median-> 10 Dividends
Payout Ratio CF 13.1% 15.0% 14.7% 24.4% 17.8% 30.5% 40.8% 41.0% 28.5% 32.0% 63.7% 33.9% 25.4% 25.4% 31.25% <-Median-> 10 Dividends
Median 5 Yrs Div Yd 5.90% in 5 yrs 6.83% in 10 yrs Yield  6.90% 7.23% Payout 116.59% 33.87% 12.07% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Dividends
* Dividends per share  3.0% 5 3.0% 10 Last Div Inc ---> $0.65 $0.43 -34.6% -1.79% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Dividends
-$0.76 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $2.38
-$2.60 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $2.38
I am earning RRSP $39.00 2006 4.36%
Yield if held 5 yrs 4.86% 4.81% 9.21% 8.47% 6.43% 8.00% 6.71% 5.50% 5.40% 3.95% 3.57% Ave H/L Yield on your  Dividends
Yield if held 10 yrs 15.41% 13.30% 13.30% 7.74% 4.20% 5.23% Ave H/L original money Dividends
Graham No. $19.24 $21.84 $18.95 $28.38 $20.95 $46.50 $38.66 $47.18 $35.65 $32.75 $26.82 $26.20 $27.94 $28.51 Cl Pr higher/lower by?
Prem/Disc High 15.1% 75.8% 133.8% 26.8% 105.3% 15.5% 28.6% 3.7% 39.8% 32.7% 38.8% 34.3% 33.46% <-Median-> 10 Graham Price
Prem/Disc H/L 1.6% 40.6% 113.4% 14.5% 85.0% 1.7% 13.8% -8.8% 33.4% 15.1% 27.0% 14.7% 14.91% <-Median-> 10 Graham Price
Prem/Disc Low -11.9% 5.3% 93.1% 2.1% 64.7% -12.2% -1.0% -21.4% 27.1% -2.5% 15.2% -4.8% 0.59% <-Median-> 10 Graham Price
Prem/Disc Cl 15.1% 75.8% 79.9% 26.8% 105.3% 6.7% 2.4% -1.7% 29.0% 9.9% 24.9% 8.8% 19.6% 17.3% 17.38% <-Median-> 10 Graham Price
Price Cl $22.15 $38.40 $34.10 $36.00 $43.00 $49.60 $39.58 $46.40 $45.97 $35.98 $33.50 $28.50 $33.43 $33.43 I -25.78% <-Total Growth 10 Stock Price
Increase 11.31% 73.36% -11.20% 5.57% 19.44% 15.35% -20.20% 17.23% -0.93% -21.73% -6.89% -14.93% 17.30% 0.00% -2.94% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Stock Price
P/E 16.53 24.94 30.18 14.34 31.85 11.62 12.61 10.57 17.68 16.13 21.34 18.51 13.76 13.21 -6.36% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Stock Price
Trailing P/E 16.29 28.66 22.14 31.86 17.13 36.74 9.27 14.78 10.47 13.84 15.02 18.15 21.71 13.76 2.72% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Price & Div
Median 5 Yrs 7.32% 5.65% Div %  5, 10 yrs Price Inc -6.89% P/E: Y-T 17.68 14.78 0.97% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Price & Div
-$38.40 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $28.50
-$39.58 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $28.50
-$38.40 $0.76 $0.82 $0.94 $1.80 $2.60 $2.60 $2.60 $2.60 $2.60 $30.88
-$39.58 $2.60 $2.60 $2.60 $2.60 $30.88
Price Ave H/L $19.55 $30.70 $40.45 $32.50 $38.75 $47.28 $44.02 $43.02 $47.57 $37.70 $34.06 $30.05 -2.12% <-Total Growth 10 Stock Price
Increase 0.00% 57.03% 31.76% -19.67% 19.25% 22.00% -6.90% -2.27% 10.59% -20.75% -9.66% -11.77% -0.21% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Stock Price
P/E 14.59 19.94 35.80 12.95 28.70 11.07 14.02 9.80 18.30 16.91 21.69 19.51 -7.35% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Stock Price
Trailing P/E 14.38 22.91 26.27 28.76 15.44 35.02 10.31 13.70 10.84 14.50 15.27 19.14 5.89% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Price & Div
Median 5 Yrs 6.73% 6.11% Div %  5, 10 yrs Price Inc -9.66% P/E: Y-T 18.30 14.50 -0.62% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Price & Div
-$30.70 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $30.05
-$44.02 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $30.05
-$30.70 $0.76 $0.82 $0.94 $1.80 $2.60 $2.60 $2.60 $2.60 $2.60 $32.43
-$44.02 $2.60 $2.60 $2.60 $2.60 $32.43
Hi Mths Jan Dec Aug Nov Dec Mar Feb/Sep Oct May/Sept Nov Jan Jan
Price Hi $22.15 $38.40 $44.30 $36.00 $43.00 $53.70 $49.74 $48.94 $49.84 $43.45 $37.22 $35.17 -8.41% <-Total Growth 10 Stock Price
Increase -4.53% 73.36% 15.36% -18.74% 19.44% 24.88% -7.37% -1.61% 1.84% -12.82% -14.34% -5.51% -0.87% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Stock Price
P/E 16.53 24.94 39.20 14.34 31.85 12.58 15.84 11.15 19.17 19.48 23.71 22.84 -6.70% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Stock Price
Trailing P/E 16.29 28.66 28.77 31.86 17.13 39.78 11.65 15.59 11.35 16.71 16.69 22.40
Median 5 Yrs Price Inc -5.51% P/E: Y-T 19.48 16.69
-$38.40 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $35.17
-$49.74 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $35.17
Low Mths Oct-Nov Jan May Mar/Jul Feb Oct Dec Feb Mar/Aug Dec Oct Aug
Price Low $16.95 $23.00 $36.60 $28.99 $34.50 $40.85 $38.29 $37.09 $45.30 $31.95 $30.90 $24.93 8.39% <-Total Growth 10 Stock Price
Increase 6.60% 35.69% 59.13% -20.79% 19.01% 18.41% -6.27% -3.13% 22.14% -29.47% -3.29% -19.32% 0.81% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Stock Price
P/E 12.65 14.94 32.39 11.55 25.56 9.57 12.19 8.45 17.42 14.33 19.68 16.19 -8.22% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Stock Price
Trailing P/E 12.46 17.16 23.77 25.65 13.75 30.26 8.97 11.81 10.32 12.29 13.86 15.88
Median 5 Yrs Price Inc -3.29% P/E: Y-T 16.19 12.29
-$23.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $24.93
Market Cap $1,312 $2,181 $1,936 $2,243 $2,645 $3,051 $2,674 $3,100 $2,971 $2,326 $2,166 $1,851
YR 2011 YR 2012
# of Sh in M 59.214 56.789 56.789 62.312 61.520 61.520 67.570 66.818 64.632 64.638 64.668 64.960 64.960 64.960 Share Capital Shares
Increase -15.43% -4.10% 0.00% 9.73% -1.27% 0.00% 9.83% -1.11% -3.27% 0.01% 0.05% 0.45% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00 <-Median-> 10 Shares
CF fr Op $M 315.8 287.3 293.4 209.8 324.2 362.5 430.2 423.6 588.7 526.0 263.8 455.5 $434.58 $434.58 58.55% <-Total Growth 10 Cash Flow
OPS $5.33 $5.06 $5.17 $3.37 $5.27 $5.89 $6.37 $6.34 $9.11 $8.14 $4.08 $7.01 $6.69 $6.69 38.61% <-Total Growth 10 Cash Flow
Non-Cash CF -$27.2 $9.3 -$76.3 $67.9 -$22.0 $10.5 $8.5 $18.0 -$29.0 -$45.9 $117.6 -$55.7 3.32% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Cash Flow
OPS non-cash $4.87 $5.22 $3.82 $4.46 $4.91 $6.06 $6.49 $6.61 $8.66 $7.43 $5.90 $6.15 $6.40 $6.80 D 1.95% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Cash Flow
Increase 26.52% 7.17% -26.83% 16.60% 10.22% 23.43% 7.08% 1.79% 31.03% -14.23% -20.59% 4.35% 3.99% 6.25% 1.65% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Cash Flow
P/O on Cl 4.54 7.35 8.92 8.08 8.75 8.18 6.10 7.02 5.31 4.84 5.68 4.63 5.22 4.92 -1.06% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Cash Flow
CF re inv + Div 0.93 0.82 1.07
*Operational Cash Flow per share P/CF 10 yr 6.56 5 yr  5.31
-$5.06 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $7.01
-$6.37 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $7.01
OPM 43.73% 34.94% 29.25% 22.62% 36.65% 23.77% 21.33% 21.99% 30.89% 27.37% 14.58% 26.65% should be zero, it is a check on calculations
Diff from Ave 73.5% 38.6% 16.0% -10.3% 45.3% -5.7% -15.4% -12.8% 22.5% 8.6% -42.2% 5.7% 0.00 <-Median-> 10 OPM
*Operational Profit Margin (CF/Revenue) Ratio OPM 10 Yrs 25.21% 5 Yrs 26.65%
Q1 2011
Curr Assets $253.99 $289.30 $243.08 $114.50 $514.20 $405.20 $376.70 $485.20 $328.70 $232.7 $432.0 $332.0 $224.2 Liq ratio of 1.5 and up, best Assets
Curr Liab. $226.03 $255.10 $406.43 $225.00 $362.20 $524.80 $590.10 $536.80 $546.00 $721.8 $426.7 $657.0 $614.9 0.62 <-Median-> 10 Liabilities
Liquidity 1.12 1.13 0.60 0.51 1.42 0.77 0.64 0.90 0.60 0.32 1.01 0.51 0.36 0.60 <-Median-> 5 Ratio
Liq. with CF aft div 2.34 2.09 1.21 1.21 2.16 1.25 1.07 1.37 1.37 0.82 1.24 0.96 0.89
Liq. CF re  Inv+Div  0.51 0.89 0.73 0.68
Assets $1,321.39 $1,468.17 $1,661.95 $1,619.30 $1,684.9 $2,964.1 $2,984.2 $2,923.5 $2,726.0 $2,653.0 $2,896.4 $2,875.3 $2,559.9 A/L ratio of 1.5 and up, best Assets
Liab. $594.27 $686.30 $859.81 $730.60 $796.2 $1,579.5 $1,554.4 $1,417.6 $1,322.0 $1,271.0 $1,579.5 $1,588.8 $1,632.3 2.00 <-Median-> 10 Liabilities
Asset/Liability 2.22 2.14 1.93 2.22 2.12 1.88 1.92 2.06 2.06 2.09 1.83 1.81 1.57 2.06 <-Median-> 5 Ratio
Book Value $727 $782 $802 $889 $889 $1,385 $1,430 $1,506 $1,404 $1,382 $1,317 $1,287 $928 $928 64.54% <-Total Growth 10 Book Value
BV per share $12.28 $13.77 $14.12 $14.26 $14.45 $22.51 $21.16 $22.54 $21.72 $21.38 $20.36 $19.80 $14.28 $14.28 43.84% <-Total Growth 10 Book Value
Change 20.95% 12.12% 2.59% 0.97% 1.29% 55.80% -5.98% 6.51% -3.61% -1.58% -4.75% -2.75% -27.90% 0.00% 1.1215 Current/Historical Book Value
P/BV (CL) 1.80 2.79 2.41 2.52 2.98 2.20 1.87 2.06 2.12 1.68 1.65 1.44 2.34 2.34 3.70% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Book Value
Change -7.98% 54.62% -13.44% 4.56% 17.93% -25.96% -15.12% 10.07% 2.79% -20.48% -2.24% -12.52% 62.68% 0.00% -1.32% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Book Value
Leverage (A/BK) 1.82 1.88 2.07 1.82 1.90 2.14 2.09 1.94 1.94 1.92 2.20 2.23 2.76 0.00 2.01 <-Median-> 10 A/BV
Debt/Equity Ratio 0.82 0.88 1.07 0.82 0.90 1.14 1.09 0.94 0.94 0.92 1.20 1.23 1.76 1.01 <-Median-> 10 Debt/Eq Ratio
Median P/BV 10 yr Ave 2.09 5 yr Ave 1.68
-$13.77 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $19.80
-$21.16 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $19.80
ROE 19.9% 11.9% 10.4% 7.7% 7.7% 21.2% <-12 mths 10.42% <-Median-> 5 Compreh. Inc
Comprehensive Inc $299.40 $167.70 $144.00 $101.70 $99.70 $196.40 <-12 mths Compreh. Inc
ROE 12.9% 12.9% 9.2% 18.3% 9.7% 22.0% 14.9% 19.9% 11.9% 10.4% 7.7% 7.7% 12.5% <-12 mths Net Income/Shareholders' equity
5Yr Median 12.2% 12.9% 12.9% 12.9% 12.9% 12.9% 14.9% 18.3% 14.9% 14.9% 11.9% 10.4% 10.4% <-12 mths
Net Income $93.93 $100.55 $73.69 $162.50 $85.80 $305.10 $213.70 $299.40 $167.70 $144.00 $101.70 $99.70 $115.70 <-12 mths -0.84% <-Total Growth 10 Net Income
Oper C. F. $315.80 $287.29 $293.37 $209.80 $324.20 $362.50 $430.20 $423.60 $588.70 $526.00 $263.80 $455.50 $385.30 <-12 mths Cash Flow Statement 
Invest. C. F -$175.65 -$275.99 -$407.68 -$301.90 -$288.00 $125.80 -$351.20 -$222.60 -$323.00 -$343.50 -$297.90 -$368.90 -$371.40 <-12 mths Cash Flow Statement
Total Accurals -$46.22 $89.25 $187.99 $254.60 $49.60 -$183.20 $134.70 $98.40 -$98.00 -$38.50 $135.80 $13.10 $101.80 <-12 mths
Total Assets $1,321.39 $1,468.17 $1,661.95 $1,619.30 $1,684.90 $2,964.1 $2,984.2 $2,923.5 $2,726.0 $2,653.0 $2,896.4 $2,875.3 $2,559.9 <-12 mths Balance Sheet
Accruals Ratio -3.50% 6.08% 11.31% 15.72% 2.94% -6.18% 4.51% 3.37% -3.60% -1.45% 4.69% 0.46% 3.98% <-12 mths
<-12 mths
Chge in Cl 11.31% 73.36% -11.20% 5.57% 19.44% 15.35% -20.20% 17.23% -0.93% -21.73% -6.89% -14.93% 17.30% <-12 mths
<-12 mths
Fin C. F. -$452.30 -$120.50 -$378.60 -$382.50 -$169.50 $137.80 -$257.70 -$230.60 <-12 mths
Total Accurals -$46.22 $89.25 $187.99 $254.60 $49.60 $269.10 $255.20 $477.00 $284.50 $131.00 -$2.00 $270.80 $332.40 <-12 mths
Accruals Ratio -3.50% 6.08% 11.31% 15.72% 2.94% 9.08% 8.55% 16.32% 10.44% 4.94% -0.07% 9.42% 12.98% <-12 mths
June 9, 2011.  The last time I looked I got 2010 and 2011 estimates of $2.01 and $2.10 for earnings and $6.34 and $6.69 for cash flow. Expected earnings were way off.
Under new accting rules Book Value decreases.  If I had used IFRS accounting rules for 2010, BV would $848 and 5 and 10 year growth would be -9.21% and  -.53% per year, respectively.
Jan 24, 2011.  TD Newcrest moved this stock from a buy to an action buy expecting a return of 32.7% return over the next 12 mths and a stock price of $36 FROM CURRENT $33.  CHECK THIS LATER.
Jan 5, 2010.  When I looked last I got 2010 and 2011 earnings of $2.30 and $2.26 and cash flow of $6.43 and $6.65.
Apr 13, 2010.  When I last looked at this stock I picked up estimates for 2009 and 2010 for earnings of $2.91 and $2.95 and cash flow of $6.85 and $7.15. Both were much lower.
I looked at Cash Flow (excluding non-cash working capital) re relationship to current liquidity and payment of dividends and investments.  CF does not cover div and Investments. An Analyst remarked 
that the company is borrowing to pay dividends.  This is not true as cash flow can cover dividends.  However, without borrowing they could not pay for investments.  This is not necessarily bad.
June 26, 2009.  In reviewing estimates, I find that I must reduce 2010 from $3.03 to $2.95.  I am holding 2009 at $2.91.  Once recession is over with, rethink this investment.
Apr 2009 AR 2008.  Last review was September 2008 and I got estimates for earnings to be $2.60.  It came as $2.23, and way off the mark.  However, lots of anaylsts are using the EPS on continuing 
operations, and this came in at $2.98.
AP 2007.  They did not do that well last year.  Dividends do not increase yearly.  I wonder if I should keep this? Became a trading company Jan 7 1997
AP 2006. My stock has done well since I bought it.  Dividend is increasing nicely.  Stock increase moderate.  Stock is doing what I bought it for, that is good dividend and modest price increases.
TD is no longer optimistic on this stock.  Cannot go to an income trust, so less valuable.  Expected price is 46, where it is now and 6% return for year. 
How they make their money
This company is a full-service communications company.  It serves residential and business customers in Manitoba.
Their Allstream division serves national business consumers.
For most ratios, lower is better when looking for a good stock price.  However, there are exceptions such as for yield and asset/liability ratios and here you want a higher ratios to indicate a good stock price.  
Also, for the Operational Profit Margin, a higher percentage is better.  With the OPM, you should only compare companies in similar industries.
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